Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 2:48 PM, 319 voters in 57 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 217,524 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 205,319 - 226,535). In addition, 335,411 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and -99,921 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 2:48 PM | 2485 |
c(2.5% = 2277)
|
c(97.5% = 2626)
|
| 02 | 2:48 PM | 3804 |
c(2.5% = 3465)
|
c(97.5% = 4071)
|
| 03 | 2:48 PM | 3532 |
c(2.5% = 3278)
|
c(97.5% = 3654)
|
| 04 | 2:48 PM | 3381 |
c(2.5% = 3161)
|
c(97.5% = 3510)
|
| 05 | 2:48 PM | 4863 |
c(2.5% = 4430)
|
c(97.5% = 5274)
|
| 06 | 2:48 PM | 2085 |
c(2.5% = 1960)
|
c(97.5% = 2161)
|
| 07 | 2:48 PM | 1878 |
c(2.5% = 1736)
|
c(97.5% = 2029)
|
| 08 | 2:48 PM | 5409 |
c(2.5% = 4962)
|
c(97.5% = 5748)
|
| 09 | 2:48 PM | 3612 |
c(2.5% = 3328)
|
c(97.5% = 3757)
|
| 10 | 2:48 PM | 4987 |
c(2.5% = 4669)
|
c(97.5% = 5172)
|
| 11 | 2:48 PM | 2325 |
c(2.5% = 2152)
|
c(97.5% = 2417)
|
| 12 | 2:48 PM | 3663 |
c(2.5% = 3369)
|
c(97.5% = 3769)
|
| 13 | 2:48 PM | 3439 |
c(2.5% = 3210)
|
c(97.5% = 3577)
|
| 14 | 2:48 PM | 1263 |
c(2.5% = 1183)
|
c(97.5% = 1302)
|
| 15 | 2:48 PM | 3288 |
c(2.5% = 2961)
|
c(97.5% = 3435)
|
| 16 | 2:48 PM | 1953 |
c(2.5% = 1807)
|
c(97.5% = 2003)
|
| 17 | 2:48 PM | 4298 |
c(2.5% = 4005)
|
c(97.5% = 4437)
|
| 18 | 2:48 PM | 1987 |
c(2.5% = 1828)
|
c(97.5% = 2144)
|
| 19 | 2:48 PM | 1801 |
c(2.5% = 1644)
|
c(97.5% = 1874)
|
| 20 | 2:48 PM | 1210 |
c(2.5% = 1137)
|
c(97.5% = 1264)
|
| 21 | 2:48 PM | 6594 |
c(2.5% = 6151)
|
c(97.5% = 6898)
|
| 22 | 2:48 PM | 5134 |
c(2.5% = 4745)
|
c(97.5% = 5346)
|
| 23 | 2:48 PM | 2502 |
c(2.5% = 2370)
|
c(97.5% = 2651)
|
| 24 | 2:48 PM | 1856 |
c(2.5% = 1748)
|
c(97.5% = 1970)
|
| 25 | 2:48 PM | 1862 |
c(2.5% = 1773)
|
c(97.5% = 1984)
|
| 26 | 2:48 PM | 2610 |
c(2.5% = 2475)
|
c(97.5% = 2756)
|
| 27 | 2:48 PM | 1833 |
c(2.5% = 1678)
|
c(97.5% = 1996)
|
| 28 | 2:48 PM | 2133 |
c(2.5% = 1980)
|
c(97.5% = 2198)
|
| 29 | 2:48 PM | 1823 |
c(2.5% = 1710)
|
c(97.5% = 1888)
|
| 30 | 2:48 PM | 2608 |
c(2.5% = 2379)
|
c(97.5% = 2755)
|
| 31 | 2:48 PM | 1925 |
c(2.5% = 1695)
|
c(97.5% = 2062)
|
| 32 | 2:48 PM | 3093 |
c(2.5% = 2896)
|
c(97.5% = 3202)
|
| 33 | 2:48 PM | 1994 |
c(2.5% = 1876)
|
c(97.5% = 2122)
|
| 34 | 2:48 PM | 6442 |
c(2.5% = 6059)
|
c(97.5% = 6667)
|
| 35 | 2:48 PM | 3533 |
c(2.5% = 3326)
|
c(97.5% = 3737)
|
| 36 | 2:48 PM | 4572 |
c(2.5% = 4258)
|
c(97.5% = 4723)
|
| 37 | 2:48 PM | 2079 |
c(2.5% = 1914)
|
c(97.5% = 2137)
|
| 38 | 2:48 PM | 3043 |
c(2.5% = 2851)
|
c(97.5% = 3128)
|
| 39 | 2:48 PM | 5259 |
c(2.5% = 4936)
|
c(97.5% = 5583)
|
| 40 | 2:48 PM | 5482 |
c(2.5% = 5105)
|
c(97.5% = 5713)
|
| 41 | 2:48 PM | 2616 |
c(2.5% = 2438)
|
c(97.5% = 2807)
|
| 42 | 2:48 PM | 2792 |
c(2.5% = 2640)
|
c(97.5% = 2916)
|
| 43 | 2:48 PM | 2467 |
c(2.5% = 2291)
|
c(97.5% = 2583)
|
| 44 | 2:48 PM | 2292 |
c(2.5% = 2122)
|
c(97.5% = 2376)
|
| 45 | 2:48 PM | 2476 |
c(2.5% = 2332)
|
c(97.5% = 2604)
|
| 46 | 2:48 PM | 3701 |
c(2.5% = 3393)
|
c(97.5% = 3878)
|
| 47 | 2:48 PM | 1043 |
c(2.5% = 966)
|
c(97.5% = 1084)
|
| 48 | 2:48 PM | 2398 |
c(2.5% = 2230)
|
c(97.5% = 2517)
|
| 49 | 2:48 PM | 3738 |
c(2.5% = 3533)
|
c(97.5% = 3895)
|
| 50 | 2:48 PM | 5926 |
c(2.5% = 5484)
|
c(97.5% = 6181)
|
| 51 | 2:48 PM | 3665 |
c(2.5% = 3390)
|
c(97.5% = 3790)
|
| 52 | 2:48 PM | 4786 |
c(2.5% = 4410)
|
c(97.5% = 4961)
|
| 53 | 2:48 PM | 2582 |
c(2.5% = 2437)
|
c(97.5% = 2716)
|
| 54 | 2:48 PM | 1807 |
c(2.5% = 1695)
|
c(97.5% = 1940)
|
| 55 | 2:48 PM | 3538 |
c(2.5% = 3303)
|
c(97.5% = 3760)
|
| 56 | 2:48 PM | 4829 |
c(2.5% = 4535)
|
c(97.5% = 5102)
|
| 57 | 2:48 PM | 3749 |
c(2.5% = 3540)
|
c(97.5% = 3962)
|
| 58 | 2:48 PM | 6105 |
c(2.5% = 5751)
|
c(97.5% = 6454)
|
| 59 | 2:48 PM | 3801 |
c(2.5% = 3568)
|
c(97.5% = 3893)
|
| 60 | 2:48 PM | 3155 |
c(2.5% = 2945)
|
c(97.5% = 3266)
|
| 61 | 2:48 PM | 3725 |
c(2.5% = 3477)
|
c(97.5% = 3879)
|
| 62 | 2:48 PM | 2903 |
c(2.5% = 2729)
|
c(97.5% = 3066)
|
| 63 | 2:48 PM | 3851 |
c(2.5% = 3642)
|
c(97.5% = 4029)
|
| 64 | 2:48 PM | 2414 |
c(2.5% = 2271)
|
c(97.5% = 2545)
|
| 65 | 2:48 PM | 3171 |
c(2.5% = 2998)
|
c(97.5% = 3358)
|
| 66 | 2:48 PM | 6358 |
c(2.5% = 6036)
|
c(97.5% = 6666)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 1:48 PM | 2127 | 115 |
| 1:04 PM | 6623 | 76 |
| 1:35 PM | 4820 | 67 |
| 10:54 AM | 3930 | 62 |
| 7:13 AM | 5224 | 4 |
| 11:42 AM | 1502 | 122 |
| 10:51 AM | 3632 | 58 |
| 7:19 AM | 3704 | 2 |
| 12:10 PM | 6020 | 79 |
| 7:46 AM | 5001 | 11 |
| 8:36 AM | 1315 | 25 |
| 10:53 AM | 4508 | 33 |
| 11:42 AM | 3009 | 79 |
| 10:43 AM | 6507 | 103 |
| 7:20 AM | 3411 | 3 |
| 12:37 PM | 6213 | 65 |
| 10:40 AM | 6608 | 103 |
| 12:36 PM | 5604 | 46 |
| 7:24 AM | 4202 | 3 |
| 11:34 AM | 2229 | 113 |
| 7:27 AM | 4909 | 9 |
| 11:15 AM | 3414 | 95 |
| 9:27 AM | 3201 | 29 |
| 2:15 PM | 6608 | 179 |
| 11:00 AM | 2311 | 47 |
| 1:13 PM | 4007 | 102 |
| 12:29 PM | 2818 | 61 |
| 2:35 PM | 5628 | 100 |
| 11:48 AM | 3926 | 44 |
| 7:49 AM | 4104 | 9 |
| 8:15 AM | 5515 | 16 |
| 8:57 AM | 6221 | 20 |
| 12:33 PM | 5114 | 74 |
| 8:38 AM | 5706 | 47 |
| 9:49 AM | 3007 | 85 |
| 11:36 AM | 3601 | 49 |
| 10:50 AM | 3921 | 97 |
| 2:48 PM | 1904 | 63 |
| 7:55 AM | 3602 | 10 |
| 9:48 AM | 6204 | 49 |
| 8:52 AM | 4619 | 76 |
| 1:49 PM | 4111 | 109 |
| 2:12 PM | 5417 | 57 |
| 1:32 PM | 2513 | 40 |
| 2:13 PM | 5702 | 148 |
| 12:29 PM | 2521 | 23 |
| 9:25 AM | 6406 | 63 |
| 10:04 AM | 5823 | 80 |
| 2:16 PM | 6127 | 128 |
| 2:43 PM | 4203 | 96 |
| 12:40 PM | 4701 | 54 |
| 9:53 AM | 4009 | 65 |
| 7:28 AM | 3525 | 3 |
| 9:49 AM | 2306 | 38 |
| 12:25 PM | 3007 | 99 |
| 2:28 PM | 3209 | 90 |
| 12:57 PM | 5315 | 73 |
| 2:36 PM | 6636 | 184 |
| 11:02 AM | 5625 | 73 |
| 11:18 AM | 3114 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3438 | 36 |
| 7:38 AM | 4610 | 8 |
| 11:09 AM | 6223 | 48 |
| 8:58 AM | 3716 | 25 |
| 7:48 AM | 2114 | 14 |
| 10:14 AM | 5128 | 92 |
| 7:44 AM | 2916 | 6 |
| 12:41 PM | 2407 | 61 |
| 10:42 AM | 2405 | 41 |
| 10:23 AM | 4506 | 57 |
| 8:51 AM | 6510 | 43 |
| 1:23 PM | 5519 | 94 |
| 7:27 AM | 4618 | 4 |
| 2:48 PM | 4003 | 164 |
| 1:07 PM | 2917 | 68 |
| 8:07 AM | 1212 | 21 |
| 10:47 AM | 1112 | 63 |
| 9:25 AM | 6120 | 57 |
| 10:52 AM | 3712 | 46 |
| 10:14 AM | 1316 | 65 |
| 8:11 AM | 6510 | 20 |
| 10:07 AM | 5013 | 83 |
| 7:56 AM | 1513 | 18 |
| 9:11 AM | 1907 | 51 |
| 9:51 AM | 3217 | 39 |
| 1:51 PM | 1205 | 188 |
| 7:58 AM | 5007 | 14 |
| 7:58 AM | 5227 | 22 |
| 9:23 AM | 5809 | 58 |
| 7:24 AM | 5118 | 7 |
| 1:15 PM | 1502 | 161 |
| 8:29 AM | 4017 | 15 |
| 8:45 AM | 4815 | 28 |
| 2:41 PM | 4308 | 135 |
| 10:13 AM | 5117 | 33 |
| 12:29 PM | 4106 | 39 |
| 7:24 AM | 5225 | 8 |
| 1:13 PM | 2103 | 80 |
| 9:01 AM | 1223 | 53 |
| 7:22 AM | 1003 | 5 |
| 10:24 AM | 2911 | 46 |
| 9:46 AM | 3519 | 48 |
| 9:18 AM | 6521 | 32 |
| 8:51 AM | 6117 | 36 |
| 2:23 PM | 6308 | 135 |
| 12:01 PM | 4208 | 56 |
| 1:57 PM | 5606 | 153 |
| 2:37 PM | 3225 | 152 |
| 10:08 AM | 3208 | 32 |
| 8:34 AM | 2008 | 11 |
| 12:45 PM | 2002 | 45 |
| 1:02 PM | 2132 | 79 |
| 2:04 PM | 5128 | 158 |
| 1:09 PM | 5634 | 67 |
| 8:20 AM | 4913 | 11 |
| 9:52 AM | 1602 | 43 |
| 7:40 AM | 5409 | 4 |
| 12:05 PM | 1216 | 88 |
| 8:00 AM | 6208 | 11 |
| 8:11 AM | 5117 | 9 |
| 8:04 AM | 4403 | 10 |
| 12:49 PM | 3911 | 23 |
| 10:08 AM | 3101 | 29 |
| 8:40 AM | 6108 | 33 |
| 10:00 AM | 3717 | 36 |
| 2:22 PM | 6316 | 124 |
| 10:40 AM | 2007 | 65 |
| 9:28 AM | 5802 | 28 |
| 9:44 AM | 2520 | 25 |
| 2:40 PM | 4106 | 65 |
| 10:59 AM | 6207 | 67 |
| 9:58 AM | 3406 | 75 |
| 11:15 AM | 5611 | 42 |
| 10:51 AM | 2201 | 121 |
| 9:13 AM | 5719 | 38 |
| 9:08 AM | 4904 | 49 |
| 8:37 AM | 5908 | 43 |
| 1:17 PM | 3531 | 66 |
| 11:02 AM | 2121 | 51 |
| 9:16 AM | 2316 | 38 |
| 12:14 PM | 2114 | 94 |
| 7:57 AM | 5807 | 9 |
| 10:19 AM | 4221 | 27 |
| 2:36 PM | 4032 | 104 |
| 1:58 PM | 4204 | 69 |
| 7:26 AM | 2620 | 1 |
| 8:14 AM | 5401 | 14 |
| 2:20 PM | 5616 | 88 |
| 1:33 PM | 3413 | 132 |
| 11:58 AM | 4312 | 38 |
| 1:24 PM | 2812 | 97 |
| 8:05 AM | 5702 | 19 |
| 9:17 AM | 3116 | 95 |
| 9:51 AM | 3531 | 41 |
| 1:41 PM | 3009 | 144 |
| 7:49 AM | 3119 | 5 |
| 2:22 PM | 4023 | 78 |
| 8:42 AM | 1910 | 37 |
| 10:55 AM | 4120 | 56 |
| 10:00 AM | 5920 | 29 |
| 1:31 PM | 6628 | 110 |
| 1:22 PM | 3111 | 63 |
| 1:15 PM | 4207 | 58 |
| 11:57 AM | 3720 | 42 |
| 2:39 PM | 3423 | 166 |
| 8:16 AM | 4015 | 11 |
| 12:54 PM | 6630 | 93 |
| 10:32 AM | 5309 | 29 |
| 11:36 AM | 5030 | 89 |
| 10:24 AM | 3108 | 30 |
| 11:37 AM | 4009 | 79 |
| 10:51 AM | 4304 | 54 |
| 8:56 AM | 6409 | 28 |
| 7:51 AM | 4002 | 7 |
| 7:34 AM | 2307 | 4 |
| 7:03 AM | 2319 | 1 |
| 7:18 AM | 1007 | 2 |
| 9:20 AM | 5028 | 67 |
| 11:58 AM | 1907 | 68 |
| 9:29 AM | 1516 | 68 |
| 1:42 PM | 1013 | 151 |
| 12:59 PM | 6001 | 47 |
| 7:25 AM | 5404 | 2 |
| 8:59 AM | 4704 | 17 |
| 9:49 AM | 3404 | 57 |
| 1:11 PM | 3818 | 118 |
| 12:23 PM | 1316 | 69 |
| 11:36 AM | 1117 | 44 |
| 1:47 PM | 2810 | 101 |
| 7:42 AM | 2134 | 15 |
| 8:54 AM | 5223 | 55 |
| 2:35 PM | 2907 | 93 |
| 10:09 AM | 6311 | 129 |
| 11:14 AM | 2618 | 37 |
| 9:36 AM | 5405 | 48 |
| 8:46 AM | 3316 | 16 |
| 9:39 AM | 3323 | 36 |
| 7:04 AM | 3522 | 1 |
| 11:59 AM | 5221 | 29 |
| 8:41 AM | 2226 | 41 |
| 7:41 AM | 4203 | 6 |
| 9:17 AM | 2710 | 22 |
| 9:34 AM | 6224 | 35 |
| 1:44 PM | 3529 | 56 |
| 7:52 AM | 5611 | 8 |
| 8:45 AM | 3219 | 32 |
| 11:24 AM | 3111 | 52 |
| 9:12 AM | 3631 | 30 |
| 12:19 PM | 2306 | 42 |
| 1:44 PM | 5826 | 105 |
| 11:44 AM | 4218 | 62 |
| 1:04 PM | 1618 | 105 |
| 9:33 AM | 6503 | 39 |
| 11:18 AM | 3111 | 50 |
| 2:16 PM | 6625 | 114 |
| 9:27 AM | 2118 | 51 |
| 7:49 AM | 3103 | 6 |
| 7:25 AM | 5115 | 6 |
| 9:39 AM | 4417 | 41 |
| 1:14 PM | 4036 | 49 |
| 10:10 AM | 3929 | 43 |
| 7:09 AM | 3222 | 2 |
| 2:09 PM | 2812 | 115 |
| 10:16 AM | 5702 | 76 |
| 7:57 AM | 5804 | 15 |
| 12:25 PM | 2321 | 91 |
| 9:20 AM | 3432 | 42 |
| 12:50 PM | 5625 | 85 |
| 2:03 PM | 1902 | 84 |
| 2:11 PM | 3118 | 173 |
| 9:04 AM | 1309 | 41 |
| 1:22 PM | 1113 | 60 |
| 11:06 AM | 1409 | 43 |
| 10:10 AM | 6638 | 69 |
| 8:32 AM | 3529 | 16 |
| 7:44 AM | 4043 | 6 |
| 1:56 PM | 1408 | 15 |
| 10:58 AM | 3407 | 77 |
| 2:30 PM | 1728 | 102 |
| 9:22 AM | 3804 | 60 |
| 8:27 AM | 4510 | 10 |
| 11:34 AM | 3718 | 68 |
| 8:27 AM | 5005 | 46 |
| 11:22 AM | 5906 | 48 |
| 1:59 PM | 4214 | 124 |
| 12:14 PM | 5417 | 34 |
| 1:36 PM | 1603 | 94 |
| 10:30 AM | 4048 | 70 |
| 10:09 AM | 6012 | 76 |
| 2:12 PM | 3318 | 37 |
| 12:00 PM | 5119 | 102 |
| 9:29 AM | 6213 | 46 |
| 8:22 AM | 4115 | 21 |
| 8:55 AM | 4907 | 45 |
| 7:49 AM | 3402 | 14 |
| 2:33 PM | 5515 | 101 |
| 7:58 AM | 4408 | 10 |
| 8:50 AM | 3004 | 25 |
| 12:34 PM | 4910 | 95 |
| 12:03 PM | 4601 | 91 |
| 2:14 PM | 5702 | 137 |
| 1:42 PM | 4101 | 50 |
| 12:36 PM | 2508 | 56 |
| 2:11 PM | 3418 | 139 |
| 9:30 AM | 6606 | 65 |
| 1:39 PM | 2228 | 73 |
| 7:51 AM | 3924 | 17 |
| 10:09 AM | 5006 | 83 |
| 2:23 PM | 3619 | 124 |
| 12:44 PM | 4323 | 37 |
| 9:24 AM | 6114 | 36 |
| 2:36 PM | 4115 | 135 |
| 8:30 AM | 4115 | 32 |
| 10:31 AM | 1707 | 114 |
| 9:21 AM | 4214 | 56 |
| 7:55 AM | 3105 | 8 |
| 9:38 AM | 4115 | 67 |
| 8:07 AM | 3504 | 12 |
| 9:42 AM | 3310 | 41 |
| 10:41 AM | 5639 | 45 |
| 12:24 PM | 2125 | 89 |
| 11:27 AM | 4815 | 56 |
| 2:33 PM | 5023 | 118 |
| 2:31 PM | 2505 | 104 |
| 2:41 PM | 5825 | 146 |
| 11:38 AM | 4306 | 60 |
| 9:56 AM | 6517 | 53 |
| 8:23 AM | 5803 | 25 |
| 10:01 AM | 3401 | 49 |
| 12:32 PM | 4029 | 52 |
| 8:54 AM | 2709 | 12 |
| 1:05 PM | 5512 | 71 |
| 8:33 AM | 6615 | 36 |
| 2:16 PM | 3808 | 151 |
| 12:20 PM | 2130 | 113 |
| 2:12 PM | 2144 | 118 |
| 7:33 AM | 1308 | 5 |
| 8:09 AM | 6318 | 16 |
| 8:50 AM | 4012 | 23 |
| 11:36 AM | 2501 | 34 |
| 1:37 PM | 2125 | 130 |
| 9:55 AM | 2320 | 44 |
| 10:25 AM | 4033 | 25 |
| 12:00 PM | 5721 | 59 |
| 1:30 PM | 6204 | 72 |
| 1:48 PM | 4021 | 56 |
| 7:58 AM | 1617 | 13 |
| 11:48 AM | 3427 | 65 |
| 7:34 AM | 4604 | 5 |
| 10:15 AM | 4713 | 39 |
| 10:32 AM | 6604 | 49 |
| 8:31 AM | 3311 | 19 |
| 12:12 PM | 1719 | 69 |
| 1:43 PM | 6311 | 213 |
| 9:37 AM | 1815 | 33 |
| 9:29 AM | 2520 | 21 |
| 8:11 AM | 4522 | 14 |
| 12:56 PM | 3428 | 58 |
| 9:14 AM | 2915 | 35 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions