Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 2:48 PM, 319 voters in 57 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 217,524 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 205,319 - 226,535). In addition, 335,411 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and -99,921 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 2:48 PM 2485 c(2.5% = 2277) c(97.5% = 2626)
02 2:48 PM 3804 c(2.5% = 3465) c(97.5% = 4071)
03 2:48 PM 3532 c(2.5% = 3278) c(97.5% = 3654)
04 2:48 PM 3381 c(2.5% = 3161) c(97.5% = 3510)
05 2:48 PM 4863 c(2.5% = 4430) c(97.5% = 5274)
06 2:48 PM 2085 c(2.5% = 1960) c(97.5% = 2161)
07 2:48 PM 1878 c(2.5% = 1736) c(97.5% = 2029)
08 2:48 PM 5409 c(2.5% = 4962) c(97.5% = 5748)
09 2:48 PM 3612 c(2.5% = 3328) c(97.5% = 3757)
10 2:48 PM 4987 c(2.5% = 4669) c(97.5% = 5172)
11 2:48 PM 2325 c(2.5% = 2152) c(97.5% = 2417)
12 2:48 PM 3663 c(2.5% = 3369) c(97.5% = 3769)
13 2:48 PM 3439 c(2.5% = 3210) c(97.5% = 3577)
14 2:48 PM 1263 c(2.5% = 1183) c(97.5% = 1302)
15 2:48 PM 3288 c(2.5% = 2961) c(97.5% = 3435)
16 2:48 PM 1953 c(2.5% = 1807) c(97.5% = 2003)
17 2:48 PM 4298 c(2.5% = 4005) c(97.5% = 4437)
18 2:48 PM 1987 c(2.5% = 1828) c(97.5% = 2144)
19 2:48 PM 1801 c(2.5% = 1644) c(97.5% = 1874)
20 2:48 PM 1210 c(2.5% = 1137) c(97.5% = 1264)
21 2:48 PM 6594 c(2.5% = 6151) c(97.5% = 6898)
22 2:48 PM 5134 c(2.5% = 4745) c(97.5% = 5346)
23 2:48 PM 2502 c(2.5% = 2370) c(97.5% = 2651)
24 2:48 PM 1856 c(2.5% = 1748) c(97.5% = 1970)
25 2:48 PM 1862 c(2.5% = 1773) c(97.5% = 1984)
26 2:48 PM 2610 c(2.5% = 2475) c(97.5% = 2756)
27 2:48 PM 1833 c(2.5% = 1678) c(97.5% = 1996)
28 2:48 PM 2133 c(2.5% = 1980) c(97.5% = 2198)
29 2:48 PM 1823 c(2.5% = 1710) c(97.5% = 1888)
30 2:48 PM 2608 c(2.5% = 2379) c(97.5% = 2755)
31 2:48 PM 1925 c(2.5% = 1695) c(97.5% = 2062)
32 2:48 PM 3093 c(2.5% = 2896) c(97.5% = 3202)
33 2:48 PM 1994 c(2.5% = 1876) c(97.5% = 2122)
34 2:48 PM 6442 c(2.5% = 6059) c(97.5% = 6667)
35 2:48 PM 3533 c(2.5% = 3326) c(97.5% = 3737)
36 2:48 PM 4572 c(2.5% = 4258) c(97.5% = 4723)
37 2:48 PM 2079 c(2.5% = 1914) c(97.5% = 2137)
38 2:48 PM 3043 c(2.5% = 2851) c(97.5% = 3128)
39 2:48 PM 5259 c(2.5% = 4936) c(97.5% = 5583)
40 2:48 PM 5482 c(2.5% = 5105) c(97.5% = 5713)
41 2:48 PM 2616 c(2.5% = 2438) c(97.5% = 2807)
42 2:48 PM 2792 c(2.5% = 2640) c(97.5% = 2916)
43 2:48 PM 2467 c(2.5% = 2291) c(97.5% = 2583)
44 2:48 PM 2292 c(2.5% = 2122) c(97.5% = 2376)
45 2:48 PM 2476 c(2.5% = 2332) c(97.5% = 2604)
46 2:48 PM 3701 c(2.5% = 3393) c(97.5% = 3878)
47 2:48 PM 1043 c(2.5% = 966) c(97.5% = 1084)
48 2:48 PM 2398 c(2.5% = 2230) c(97.5% = 2517)
49 2:48 PM 3738 c(2.5% = 3533) c(97.5% = 3895)
50 2:48 PM 5926 c(2.5% = 5484) c(97.5% = 6181)
51 2:48 PM 3665 c(2.5% = 3390) c(97.5% = 3790)
52 2:48 PM 4786 c(2.5% = 4410) c(97.5% = 4961)
53 2:48 PM 2582 c(2.5% = 2437) c(97.5% = 2716)
54 2:48 PM 1807 c(2.5% = 1695) c(97.5% = 1940)
55 2:48 PM 3538 c(2.5% = 3303) c(97.5% = 3760)
56 2:48 PM 4829 c(2.5% = 4535) c(97.5% = 5102)
57 2:48 PM 3749 c(2.5% = 3540) c(97.5% = 3962)
58 2:48 PM 6105 c(2.5% = 5751) c(97.5% = 6454)
59 2:48 PM 3801 c(2.5% = 3568) c(97.5% = 3893)
60 2:48 PM 3155 c(2.5% = 2945) c(97.5% = 3266)
61 2:48 PM 3725 c(2.5% = 3477) c(97.5% = 3879)
62 2:48 PM 2903 c(2.5% = 2729) c(97.5% = 3066)
63 2:48 PM 3851 c(2.5% = 3642) c(97.5% = 4029)
64 2:48 PM 2414 c(2.5% = 2271) c(97.5% = 2545)
65 2:48 PM 3171 c(2.5% = 2998) c(97.5% = 3358)
66 2:48 PM 6358 c(2.5% = 6036) c(97.5% = 6666)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
1:48 PM 2127 115
1:04 PM 6623 76
1:35 PM 4820 67
10:54 AM 3930 62
7:13 AM 5224 4
11:42 AM 1502 122
10:51 AM 3632 58
7:19 AM 3704 2
12:10 PM 6020 79
7:46 AM 5001 11
8:36 AM 1315 25
10:53 AM 4508 33
11:42 AM 3009 79
10:43 AM 6507 103
7:20 AM 3411 3
12:37 PM 6213 65
10:40 AM 6608 103
12:36 PM 5604 46
7:24 AM 4202 3
11:34 AM 2229 113
7:27 AM 4909 9
11:15 AM 3414 95
9:27 AM 3201 29
2:15 PM 6608 179
11:00 AM 2311 47
1:13 PM 4007 102
12:29 PM 2818 61
2:35 PM 5628 100
11:48 AM 3926 44
7:49 AM 4104 9
8:15 AM 5515 16
8:57 AM 6221 20
12:33 PM 5114 74
8:38 AM 5706 47
9:49 AM 3007 85
11:36 AM 3601 49
10:50 AM 3921 97
2:48 PM 1904 63
7:55 AM 3602 10
9:48 AM 6204 49
8:52 AM 4619 76
1:49 PM 4111 109
2:12 PM 5417 57
1:32 PM 2513 40
2:13 PM 5702 148
12:29 PM 2521 23
9:25 AM 6406 63
10:04 AM 5823 80
2:16 PM 6127 128
2:43 PM 4203 96
12:40 PM 4701 54
9:53 AM 4009 65
7:28 AM 3525 3
9:49 AM 2306 38
12:25 PM 3007 99
2:28 PM 3209 90
12:57 PM 5315 73
2:36 PM 6636 184
11:02 AM 5625 73
11:18 AM 3114 77
9:00 AM 3438 36
7:38 AM 4610 8
11:09 AM 6223 48
8:58 AM 3716 25
7:48 AM 2114 14
10:14 AM 5128 92
7:44 AM 2916 6
12:41 PM 2407 61
10:42 AM 2405 41
10:23 AM 4506 57
8:51 AM 6510 43
1:23 PM 5519 94
7:27 AM 4618 4
2:48 PM 4003 164
1:07 PM 2917 68
8:07 AM 1212 21
10:47 AM 1112 63
9:25 AM 6120 57
10:52 AM 3712 46
10:14 AM 1316 65
8:11 AM 6510 20
10:07 AM 5013 83
7:56 AM 1513 18
9:11 AM 1907 51
9:51 AM 3217 39
1:51 PM 1205 188
7:58 AM 5007 14
7:58 AM 5227 22
9:23 AM 5809 58
7:24 AM 5118 7
1:15 PM 1502 161
8:29 AM 4017 15
8:45 AM 4815 28
2:41 PM 4308 135
10:13 AM 5117 33
12:29 PM 4106 39
7:24 AM 5225 8
1:13 PM 2103 80
9:01 AM 1223 53
7:22 AM 1003 5
10:24 AM 2911 46
9:46 AM 3519 48
9:18 AM 6521 32
8:51 AM 6117 36
2:23 PM 6308 135
12:01 PM 4208 56
1:57 PM 5606 153
2:37 PM 3225 152
10:08 AM 3208 32
8:34 AM 2008 11
12:45 PM 2002 45
1:02 PM 2132 79
2:04 PM 5128 158
1:09 PM 5634 67
8:20 AM 4913 11
9:52 AM 1602 43
7:40 AM 5409 4
12:05 PM 1216 88
8:00 AM 6208 11
8:11 AM 5117 9
8:04 AM 4403 10
12:49 PM 3911 23
10:08 AM 3101 29
8:40 AM 6108 33
10:00 AM 3717 36
2:22 PM 6316 124
10:40 AM 2007 65
9:28 AM 5802 28
9:44 AM 2520 25
2:40 PM 4106 65
10:59 AM 6207 67
9:58 AM 3406 75
11:15 AM 5611 42
10:51 AM 2201 121
9:13 AM 5719 38
9:08 AM 4904 49
8:37 AM 5908 43
1:17 PM 3531 66
11:02 AM 2121 51
9:16 AM 2316 38
12:14 PM 2114 94
7:57 AM 5807 9
10:19 AM 4221 27
2:36 PM 4032 104
1:58 PM 4204 69
7:26 AM 2620 1
8:14 AM 5401 14
2:20 PM 5616 88
1:33 PM 3413 132
11:58 AM 4312 38
1:24 PM 2812 97
8:05 AM 5702 19
9:17 AM 3116 95
9:51 AM 3531 41
1:41 PM 3009 144
7:49 AM 3119 5
2:22 PM 4023 78
8:42 AM 1910 37
10:55 AM 4120 56
10:00 AM 5920 29
1:31 PM 6628 110
1:22 PM 3111 63
1:15 PM 4207 58
11:57 AM 3720 42
2:39 PM 3423 166
8:16 AM 4015 11
12:54 PM 6630 93
10:32 AM 5309 29
11:36 AM 5030 89
10:24 AM 3108 30
11:37 AM 4009 79
10:51 AM 4304 54
8:56 AM 6409 28
7:51 AM 4002 7
7:34 AM 2307 4
7:03 AM 2319 1
7:18 AM 1007 2
9:20 AM 5028 67
11:58 AM 1907 68
9:29 AM 1516 68
1:42 PM 1013 151
12:59 PM 6001 47
7:25 AM 5404 2
8:59 AM 4704 17
9:49 AM 3404 57
1:11 PM 3818 118
12:23 PM 1316 69
11:36 AM 1117 44
1:47 PM 2810 101
7:42 AM 2134 15
8:54 AM 5223 55
2:35 PM 2907 93
10:09 AM 6311 129
11:14 AM 2618 37
9:36 AM 5405 48
8:46 AM 3316 16
9:39 AM 3323 36
7:04 AM 3522 1
11:59 AM 5221 29
8:41 AM 2226 41
7:41 AM 4203 6
9:17 AM 2710 22
9:34 AM 6224 35
1:44 PM 3529 56
7:52 AM 5611 8
8:45 AM 3219 32
11:24 AM 3111 52
9:12 AM 3631 30
12:19 PM 2306 42
1:44 PM 5826 105
11:44 AM 4218 62
1:04 PM 1618 105
9:33 AM 6503 39
11:18 AM 3111 50
2:16 PM 6625 114
9:27 AM 2118 51
7:49 AM 3103 6
7:25 AM 5115 6
9:39 AM 4417 41
1:14 PM 4036 49
10:10 AM 3929 43
7:09 AM 3222 2
2:09 PM 2812 115
10:16 AM 5702 76
7:57 AM 5804 15
12:25 PM 2321 91
9:20 AM 3432 42
12:50 PM 5625 85
2:03 PM 1902 84
2:11 PM 3118 173
9:04 AM 1309 41
1:22 PM 1113 60
11:06 AM 1409 43
10:10 AM 6638 69
8:32 AM 3529 16
7:44 AM 4043 6
1:56 PM 1408 15
10:58 AM 3407 77
2:30 PM 1728 102
9:22 AM 3804 60
8:27 AM 4510 10
11:34 AM 3718 68
8:27 AM 5005 46
11:22 AM 5906 48
1:59 PM 4214 124
12:14 PM 5417 34
1:36 PM 1603 94
10:30 AM 4048 70
10:09 AM 6012 76
2:12 PM 3318 37
12:00 PM 5119 102
9:29 AM 6213 46
8:22 AM 4115 21
8:55 AM 4907 45
7:49 AM 3402 14
2:33 PM 5515 101
7:58 AM 4408 10
8:50 AM 3004 25
12:34 PM 4910 95
12:03 PM 4601 91
2:14 PM 5702 137
1:42 PM 4101 50
12:36 PM 2508 56
2:11 PM 3418 139
9:30 AM 6606 65
1:39 PM 2228 73
7:51 AM 3924 17
10:09 AM 5006 83
2:23 PM 3619 124
12:44 PM 4323 37
9:24 AM 6114 36
2:36 PM 4115 135
8:30 AM 4115 32
10:31 AM 1707 114
9:21 AM 4214 56
7:55 AM 3105 8
9:38 AM 4115 67
8:07 AM 3504 12
9:42 AM 3310 41
10:41 AM 5639 45
12:24 PM 2125 89
11:27 AM 4815 56
2:33 PM 5023 118
2:31 PM 2505 104
2:41 PM 5825 146
11:38 AM 4306 60
9:56 AM 6517 53
8:23 AM 5803 25
10:01 AM 3401 49
12:32 PM 4029 52
8:54 AM 2709 12
1:05 PM 5512 71
8:33 AM 6615 36
2:16 PM 3808 151
12:20 PM 2130 113
2:12 PM 2144 118
7:33 AM 1308 5
8:09 AM 6318 16
8:50 AM 4012 23
11:36 AM 2501 34
1:37 PM 2125 130
9:55 AM 2320 44
10:25 AM 4033 25
12:00 PM 5721 59
1:30 PM 6204 72
1:48 PM 4021 56
7:58 AM 1617 13
11:48 AM 3427 65
7:34 AM 4604 5
10:15 AM 4713 39
10:32 AM 6604 49
8:31 AM 3311 19
12:12 PM 1719 69
1:43 PM 6311 213
9:37 AM 1815 33
9:29 AM 2520 21
8:11 AM 4522 14
12:56 PM 3428 58
9:14 AM 2915 35

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions